Seems like 2020 will be the year when “democratic sun will shine over USA”. According to the latest Poll created by Morning Consult/Politico where 2,586 voters participated in the period November 16 – 19, Bernie is the future USA President.
The final results showed that 42% of the total number of voters would vote for Sanders and only 36% would trust Trump again. 22% of the voters were not sure yet who would they vote for. These numbers are surprising if we take into consideration that Bernie lost against Hilary in 2016 when he nominated as an independent democratic candidate.
The former Ohio state senator and current president of the pro-Sanders political group called Our Revolution, Nina Turner, claims that there results say a lot about the firepower that he can bear. She also added that the generic factor goes away as we are getting closer to knowing who is going to run.
Compared to the democratic vs. republican candidate results which is 44% to 35%, Sander’s lead is lower.
Among Democrats, the generic party member did 11 points better than Sanders, leading Trump 81 percent to 7 percent. Seven in 10 Democrats said they would support Sanders, while 9 percent said they would support Trump.
Sanders said that, as independent, he will pursue re-election in the Senate in 2018, but he did not reveal if he will run for president in 2020. His spokesman did not comment this question.
A Morning Consult/Politico survey released last week found former Vice President Joe Biden leading Trump 46 percent to 35 percent. The 11-point spread is 5 percentage points better than Sanders’ hypothetical margin. Biden also did better than Sanders among Democrats, with 78 percent saying they would vote for the former vice president.
That survey, conducted Nov. 9-11, was more favorable to Democrats in terms of Trump’s approval rating and the generic presidential ballot.
Gregg Keller, a Republican strategist and former executive director of the American Conservative Union, said the two surveys show a difficult primary election landscape for national Democrats looking for a nominee to challenge Trump in 2020.
“Like the last one, it will pit their traditional liberal wing against a nascent, highly-energized and self-proclaimed socialist one,” he said in an email on Tuesday.
Michael Ahrens, a spokesman for the Republican National Committee, said in an email that “even the left” rejected Sanders when the Democratic Party nominated Clinton. He said Republicans are confident that voters will hand Trump “another victory in 2020.”
While both Sanders and Biden held their own against Trump in the Northeast, Midwest and West in a hypothetical matchup, Sanders underperformed Biden in the South — a region where Clinton won more primaries and caucuses than Sanders in 2016. According to the most recent poll, Trump led Sanders by 5 points, 40 percent to 35 percent, in the region, while Biden led Trump 43 percent to 37 percent in the previous poll.
“It’s no secret that the Sanders campaign needed more time to work in the South,” Turner said. “I don’t expect that to be changed overnight.”
Kentucky’s former state auditor, Democrat Adam Edelen, said Southern Democratic voters are looking for authentic candidates who communicate a message of “economic security.” He is leading an effort called “New Kentucky Project” to re-engage Democrats in the Bluegrass State.
He pointed to Biden and suggested other 2020 Democratic possibilities, such as New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand or Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan, who unsuccessfully challenged House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi for the House party leadership role after the 2016 elections.
“A good candidate who understands the pain and has felt economic insecurity – that’s what people are looking for,” Edelen said Tuesday.
In the South, Trump has a 2-point net approval rating: Forty-eight percent of Southern voters approve of him while 46 percent disapprove, according to the recent survey. Nationally, however, Trump’s approval is 6 points underwater, with 44 percent of voters approving and 50 percent of voters disapproving.